Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000175 0.000189 0.000204 0.000221 0.000240 0.000260 0.000284
2024-10-06 0.000153 0.000173 0.000196 0.000224 0.000258 0.000297 0.000346
2024-10-13 0.000141 0.000165 0.000193 0.000228 0.000272 0.000327 0.000400
2024-10-20 0.000129 0.000155 0.000185 0.000225 0.000277 0.000344 0.000439
2024-10-27 0.000124 0.000151 0.000185 0.000231 0.000293 0.000376 0.000499
2024-11-03 0.000114 0.000142 0.000176 0.000225 0.000292 0.000385 0.000528
2024-11-10 0.000107 0.000135 0.000171 0.000221 0.000294 0.000397 0.000563
2024-11-17 0.000101 0.000128 0.000165 0.000217 0.000294 0.000407 0.000593
2024-11-24 0.000097 0.000125 0.000162 0.000217 0.000300 0.000425 0.000640
2024-12-01 0.000093 0.000121 0.000159 0.000217 0.000305 0.000442 0.000685
2024-12-08 0.000090 0.000119 0.000158 0.000219 0.000314 0.000466 0.000747
2024-12-15 0.000086 0.000114 0.000154 0.000216 0.000315 0.000476 0.000784
2024-12-22 0.000083 0.000111 0.000151 0.000215 0.000319 0.000495 0.000840
2024-12-29 0.000080 0.000109 0.000150 0.000217 0.000330 0.000525 0.000925
2025-01-05 0.000078 0.000108 0.000151 0.000221 0.000343 0.000560 0.001026
2025-01-12 0.000075 0.000104 0.000147 0.000218 0.000344 0.000573 0.001083
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000104 0.000148 0.000224 0.000360 0.000617 0.001216
2025-01-26 0.000071 0.000099 0.000143 0.000218 0.000355 0.000619 0.001252
2025-02-02 0.000068 0.000096 0.000139 0.000215 0.000355 0.000630 0.001312
2025-02-09 0.000065 0.000093 0.000135 0.000211 0.000353 0.000637 0.001361
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000091 0.000134 0.000211 0.000358 0.000661 0.001461
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000089 0.000132 0.000210 0.000362 0.000682 0.001557
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000088 0.000132 0.000212 0.000372 0.000717 0.001702